The NINO3.4 index is one of several El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) indicators based on sea surface temperatures.
NINO3.4 is the average sea surface temperature anomaly in the region bounded by 5°N to 5°S, from 170°W to 120°W. This region has large variability on El Niño time scales, and is close to the region where changes in local sea-surface temperature are important for shifting the large region of rainfall typically located in the far western Pacific.
An El Niño or La Niña event is identified if the 5-month running-average of the NINO3.4 index exceeds +0.4°C for El Niño or -0.4°C for La Niña for at least 6 consecutive months.
Parts of northern Tasmania are having one of the wettest winters on record, but it isn't over yet.
A band of rain sweeping over all districts in Victoria tomorrow may cause flooding in the stateâ??s northeast.
The final rainband of the season is sweeping across South Australia today, but the heaviest rain is going to fall where it shouldn't.